24–28 Aug 2026
Kirchhoff Institute for Physics (KIP)
Europe/Berlin timezone

Forecasting Generative Amplification

25 Aug 2026, 11:30
8m
HS1

HS1

Inference & Uncertainty 🔀 Inference & Uncertainty

Speaker

Sascha Diefenbacher (ITP Heidelberg)

Description

Generative networks are perfect tools to enhance the speed and precision of LHC simulations. It is important to understand their statistical precision, especially when generating events beyond the size of the training dataset. We present two complementary methods to estimate the amplification factor without large holdout datasets. Averaging amplification uses Bayesian networks or ensembling to estimate amplification from the precision of integrals over given phase-space volumes. Differential amplification uses hypothesis testing to quantify amplification without any resolution loss. Applied to state-of-the-art event generators, both methods indicate that amplification is possible in specific regions of phase space, but not yet across the entire distribution.

Authors

Henning Bahl Jonas Spinner Nina Elmer Sascha Diefenbacher (ITP Heidelberg) Tilman Plehn (Institut für Theoretische Physik, Universität Heidelberg; Interdisciplinary Center for Scientific Computing (IWR), Universität Heidelberg)

Presentation materials